Peter

Peter

Tuesday, 21 September 2010 16:23

Anatomy of a soccer (football) match

During my research on soccer matches I have discovered many prejudices, against or for, certain situations that occur in football matches. I would like to clarify a few of these common myths for you.

Tuesday, 21 September 2010 16:21

The efficiency of the betting exchange markets

Modern economic theory determines that where there is a free market in which goods and services are freely tradable the market will, generally, determine a market price that is "efficient".

Tuesday, 21 September 2010 16:16

How to win the lottery!

Good news, it is possible to improve your chances of winning a lottery.

What is a bookie? Many people ask this question and it was indeed one of the first "puzzles" I solved when looking at betting exchanges. Curiously I found no explanations anywhere on the Internet or in bookshops. So here is an explanation....

Tuesday, 21 September 2010 16:12

How much should I stake - Kelly's strategy

The answer to this question has quite surprisingly been around for ages though it is discussed, analysed and refined often. Named after its author, John L Kelly Jr, if was first published in 1956.

Tuesday, 21 September 2010 16:10

Winning and losing runs

Are you a rotten gambler or just plain unlucky? You seem to have hit on a winning system when woe and behold you are struck down by a really bad losing run and with it your confidence. So, were you just unlucky?

Tuesday, 21 September 2010 16:09

Fair or unfair games - "Expectation"

One of the most valuable uses to which a gambler can put his knowledge of probabilities is to decide whether a game or proposition is fair, or equitable. To do this a gambler must calculate his 'expectation'.

Tuesday, 21 September 2010 16:07

Equipartition

Some gamblers might he tempted to base staking plans on the theory that in any series of even-money events there must come a time sooner or later when the outcomes reach equipartition.

Tuesday, 21 September 2010 15:52

Understanding Combinations and Permutations

In 1665, three years after his death, Pascal's famous arithmetical triangle was published. Pascal's Triangle is a well known mathematical pattern.

It is frequently stated in books and articles on probability that if a succession of monkeys were set before a typewriter with limitless paper, eventually the complete works of Shakespeare would be repeated by chance.

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